Analisis Dampak Perdagangan Internasional Komoditas Crude Palm Oil (CPO) Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Indonesia
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.14421/jmes.2022.012-05Keywords:
Commodities CPO, International Trade, Economic GrowthAbstract
Indonesia is a country that adheres to an open economic system with international trade as a driving force for economic growth. This study aims to analyze the impact of international trade on Crude Palm Oil (CPO) commodities, which consist of CPO exports, CPO production, exchange rates, inflation, and unemployment, on economic growth in Indonesia. The method used is multiple linear regression using the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) approach and the eviews 10 application. The data used is an annual time series from 1990–2021. The results of the study simultaneously show that the variables of CPO exports, CPO production, exchange rates, inflation, and unemployment have a joint effect on economic growth. While partially CPO exports have a significant positive effect on economic growth, CPO production, exchange rates and inflation have a negative and insignificant relationship to economic growth and unemployment has a significant negative effect on economic growth in Indonesia.
Downloads


References
Abendin, S., & Duan, P. (2021). International Trade and Economic Growth in Africa: The Role of the Digital Economy. Cogent Economics and Finance, 9(1). https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2021.1911767
Alotaibi, M. E., Almohaimeed, M. A., & Alharbi, W. M. (2020). The Impact of International Trade on Economic Growth. Journal of Modern Accounting and Auditing, 16(11), 484–501. https://doi.org/10.17265/1548-6583/2020.11.002
Apresian, S. R., Tyson, A., Varkkey, H., Choiruzzad, S. A. B., & Indraswari, R. (2020). Palm Oil Development in Riau, Indonesia: Balancing Economic Growth and Environmental Protection. Nusantara: An International Journal of Humanities and Social Sciences, 2(1), 1–29. https://doi.org/10.6936/NIJHSS.202006
Badan Pusat Statistik. (2021). Produksi Tanaman Perkebunan Sawit Tahun 2019-2021. https://www.bps.go.id/indicator/54/132/1/produksi-tanaman-perkebunan.html
Boediono. (2001). Teori dan Aplikasi Statistika dan Probabilitas. PT. Remaja Rosda Karya.
Gatiningsih dan Sutrisno, E. (2017). Kependudukan dan ketenagakerjaan. Fakultas Manajemen Pemerintahan IPDN. http://eprints.ipdn.ac.id/2402/1/Buku GATI dan EKO Kependudukan LENGKAP.pdf
Hidayat, R., Poernomo, E., & Waluyo, M. (2018). Bisnis Ekspor dan Impor. In CV. Selembar Papyrus. CV. Selembar Papyrus. http://eprints.upnjatim.ac.id/7881/
Huda, E. N., & Widodo, A. (2017). Determinan dan Stabilitas Ekspor Crude Palm Oil Indonesia. Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Bisnis, 20(1), 47. https://doi.org/10.24914/jeb.v20i1.518
Irsania, D. V., & Noveria, A. (2014). The Relationship among Foreign Direct Investment, Inflation Rate, Unemployment Rate, and Exchange Rate to Economic Growth in Indonesia. Journal of Business and Management, 3(5), 499–510. https://journal.sbm.itb.ac.id/index.php/jbm/article/download/1235/777
Iswardono SP. (1994). Teori Ekonomi Mikro (pp. 1–248). Penerbit Gunadarma.
Kementerian Pertanian. (2021). Oil Palm Area by Province in Indonesia. https://drive.google.com/file/d/1rlmMNUbPM99DA-Ywo-Prv3cmPnWoFUUp/view?usp=sharing
Komang, N., Lestari, S., Agung, A., Ngurah Marhaeni, I., Gusti, I., & Yasa, W. M. (2021). Does Human Development Index (HDI), Investment, and Unemployment Effects on Economic Growth and Poverty Levels? (A Case Study in Bali). American Journal of Humanities and Social Sciences Research, 5(2), 416–426. www.ajhssr.com
Krugman, R. P., & Maurice, O. (2005). Ekonomi Internasional Teori dan Kebijakan. Indeks Kelompok Gramedia.
Lindert, P. H., & Kindleberger, C. P. (1983). Ekonomi Internasional (K. Mochtar (ed.); B. Abdullah (trans.)). Penerbit Erlangga.
Manik, M. (2022). Pengaruh Perdagangan Internasional Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia. Jurnal Ekonomi Manajemen Dan Bisnis, 23(2), 377–383. https://doi.org/10.55324/josr.v1i5.37
Mankiw, N. G. (2007). Makroekonomi. Penerbit Erlangga.
Muchtolifah. (2010). Ekonomi Makro. Unesa University Press. https://dosenekonomi.com/ilmu-ekonomi/teori-ekonomi-makro
Najafi, B., Akbari, B., Hadizadeh, A., & Bayat, N. (2022). Impact of exchange rates and inflation on GDP : A data panel approach consistent with data from Iran , Iraq and Turkey. Ijnaa, Int. J. Nonlinear, 6822(November 2021), 1–16. http://dx.doi.org/10.22075/ijnaa.2022.6278%0AImpact
Nanga, M. (2005). Makro Ekonomi (Teori, Masalah dan Kebijakan). PT. Raja Grafindo Persada.
Nopirin. (1997). Ekonomi Internasional (3rd ed.). BPFE Yogyakarta.
Pekarcikova, K., Vanek, M., & Sousedikova, R. (2022). Determinants of economic growth: Panel data analysis of OPEC. Resources Policy Elsevier. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2022.103129
Pratomo, G., & Saputra, O. C. C. (2022). Analisis Determinan Ekspor Minyak Kelapa Sawit Indonesia Pada Negara Asia-6 Tahun 2011-2020. Economie: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 04(1), 14–24. https://journal.uwks.ac.id/index.php/economie/article/view/2463%0Ahttps://journal.uwks.ac.id/index.php/economie/article/download/2463/1301
Purba, B., Purba, D. S., Purba, P. B., Nainggolan, P., Susanti, E., Damanik, D., Parinduri, L., Lie, D., Fajrillah, Rahman, A., Basmar, E., & Sudarmanto, E. (2021). Ekonomi Internasional. Penerbit Yayasan Kita Menulis.
Putra, G. N. A., & Sutrisna, I. ketut. (2017). Pengaruh Produksi dan Inflasi terhadap Ekspor dan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Di Indonesia. E-Jurnal EP Unud, 6(11), 2165–2194. https://ojs.unud.ac.id/index.php/eep/article/view/34943
Ronaldo, R. (2019). Pengaruh Inflasi dan Tingkat Pengangguran Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Makro di Indonesia. Jurnal Ekonomi, 21(2), 137–153. https://doi.org/10.32505/jii.v5i2.2392
Rosa, Y. Del, Agus, I., & Abdilla, M. (2019). Pengaruh Inflasi, Kebijakan Moneter dan Pengangguran Terhadap Perekonomian Indonesia. Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Bisnis Dharma Andalas, 21(2), 195–209. https://jurnal.unidha.ac.id/index.php/JEBD/article/view/29
Salsabila, A. Y., Imanigsih, N., & Wijaya, R. S. (2021). Pengaruh Jumlah Penduduk, Jumlah Pengangguran dan Tingkat Pendidikan terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Wilayah Gerbang Kertosusila. Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan, 7(1), 46–55. https://doi.org/10.35906/jep01.v7i1.774
Siahaan, S. R., Purba, E. F., & Simangunsong, R. M. (2001). Pengantar Ekonomi Pembangunan. Universitas HKBP Nommensen.
Sikobi, A. P. (2021). The impact of international trade of commodities on the economic growth of South Africa [World Maritime University]. In World Maritime University Dissertations. https://commons.wmu.se/all_dissertations/1745
Syahza, A. (2021). Buku Metodologi Penelitian , Edisi Revisi Tahun 2021. UR Press Pekanbaru.
Syamsuyar, H., & Ikhsan. (2017). Dampak Sistem Nilai Tukar Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia. Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa (JIM) Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Dan Bisnis Unsyiah, 2(3), 414–422. http://www.jim.unsyiah.ac.id/EKP/article/view/5717/2402
Todaro, M. P. (1983). Ekonomi Pembangunan di Dunia Ketiga. Penerbit Balai Aksara.
Wahab, A. (2013). Ekonomi Internasional. Alauddin University Press.
Wiriani, E., & Mukarramah. (2020). Pengaruh Inflasi dan Kurs terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia. Jurnal Samudra Ekonomi, 4(1), 41–50. https://doi.org/10.34010/jurisma.v9i1.1414
Wiriani, E., & Mukarramah. (2020). Pengaruh Inflasi dan Kurs Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia. Jurnal Samudra Ekonomika, 4(1), 41–50. https://ejurnalunsam.id/index.php/jse/article/view/2222
Yuni, R. (2021). Dampak Perdagangan Internasional Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia Pada Tahun 2009-2019. Niagawan, 10(1), 62. https://doi.org/10.24114/niaga.v10i1.19193
Zarkasi. (2015). Pengangguran, inflasi dan daya beli. IAIN Pontianak Press. https://id1lib.org/book/19109127/4333d1